https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/technique/predicting-beginner-scores Changes to this claim in Matteo Campagna's evidence registry: its status, its year-by-year history, revisions of the page. en-gb https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/technique/predicting-beginner-scoresOne study has seen it, in a small sample. Among 17 secondary school pupils at the end of a basic Olympic recurve course, those more accurate at throwing a tennis ball at a target on a wall shoot better with the bow (r = 0.51), but in the same study none of the other measurements taken away from the shot, from height and arm length to shoulder position sense, is linked to the score, and with nine correlations one that crosses the threshold may simply be chance. A second study, on 104 university students with no experience using a toy bow at three metres, manages to guess who scores in 72 to 80 per cent of cases, but it uses body measurements together with trunk, shoulder, elbow and wrist angles filmed during the shot, and no throwing test, so it does not answer the question. The oldest finding close to the question dates from 1969, in a course for beginner schoolgirls: a general motor ability test was only weakly linked to the final score (r = 0.32), and it contained no target throw. What remains is a cross-sectional association at beginner distances, and nobody has checked whether those who start better end up further ahead.claim:prevedere-punteggio-principianti:revision:2026-07-04:3Sat, 04 Jul 2026 08:00:00 GMT https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/technique/predicting-beginner-scores#storiaThe oldest finding close to the question comes from an experiment on 216 beginner girls in their first year of an Illinois high school, over a course of nineteen lessons: in one of the two groups the score of the final round is linked to the Scott and French general motor ability test, a battery of throwing, running, wall passes and jumping, with r = 0.32. It is a weak link with general coordination, and the battery contains no target throw: the question this entry asks has not yet been put.claim:prevedere-punteggio-principianti:history_entry:2026-06-08:1969Mon, 08 Jun 2026 08:00:00 GMT https://matteocampagna.com/en/registry/technique/predicting-beginner-scoresclaim:prevedere-punteggio-principianti:new_claim:2026-01-26:riportatoMon, 26 Jan 2026 08:00:00 GMT